FLOW LAB · EXPLANATORY MODEL

What is all that
active work costing?

Explore average time in a stable system. This calculation explains a relationship; it does not predict a task or guarantee faster delivery.

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ILLUSTRATIVE AVERAGE

7.5 working days

12 ÷ 8 × 5 = 7.5 working days

What the calculation means

Average time = average WIP ÷ throughput. The working-day display multiplies the result in weeks by the selected working days. Use consistent item definitions, system boundaries and observation windows. The relationship is commonly called Little’s Law.

Check the assumptions first

A change is a hypothesis

Changing WIP while holding throughput fixed illustrates the model. A real change may also affect throughput, demand or quality. Observe the result rather than presenting the calculator as evidence of an improvement.

Reference and next step

MIT OpenCourseWare operations-management lecture on queueing; The Kanban Guide for flow metric definitions. Apply the WIP-limit experiment with your own observations.

EDITORIAL TOOL ADDITION · 16 OCTOBER 2026

Describe completed durations separately

The WIP model above is an average relationship. To examine variation, enter durations from completed items using the same start and finish definitions. Use one number per line with a decimal point; no dates, commas or units. All entries must use one day convention. The seven example values below are fictional.

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Summarise the example or enter your own anonymised durations.

Method and a checkable example

Sort the values. For proportion p, the zero-based position is p × (n − 1); interpolate linearly between adjacent values. This is the R7 convention described among the alternatives in NIST’s percentile reference. It differs from some other percentile conventions. For the example: n = 7, sum = 55, mean ≈ 7.857 days, median = 4 and sample p85 = 13.8 days. The display rounds to three decimals; calculations use unrounded values.

A sample percentile describes these completed observations. It is not an 85% guarantee for the next task. A few observations, a changed process or mixed work classes weaken any inference. Unfinished and cancelled work is not represented by this list; examine it separately to avoid hiding aging work. Do not mix working and calendar days. No input is sent or saved by this tool.

The Kanban Guide: flow metrics and service-level expectations. No real team improvement or authorship of this new tool by Richard Durnall is claimed.

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